Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.009197 0.010915 0.013004 0.015775 0.019426 0.024180 0.031029
2025-06-08 0.007121 0.009163 0.011956 0.016216 0.022875 0.033534 0.053536
2025-06-15 0.005853 0.007908 0.010934 0.015999 0.024939 0.041750 0.081628
2025-06-22 0.004870 0.006791 0.009760 0.015052 0.025246 0.046958 0.109974
2025-06-29 0.004351 0.006251 0.009326 0.015163 0.027471 0.057541 0.169470
2025-07-06 0.004026 0.005947 0.009197 0.015759 0.030945 0.074102 0.294264
2025-07-13 0.003837 0.005828 0.009353 0.016943 0.036401 0.102629 0.634164
2025-07-20 0.003601 0.005591 0.009240 0.017521 0.040686 0.133862 1.408180
2025-07-27 0.003347 0.005285 0.008937 0.017581 0.043576 0.165018 3.279812
2025-08-03 0.003136 0.005028 0.008689 0.017707 0.046828 0.206299 10.856078
2025-08-10 0.002892 0.004685 0.008211 0.017132 0.047384 0.233502 37.559589
2025-08-17 0.002643 0.004307 0.007613 0.016114 0.045827 0.242975 123.875481
2025-08-24 0.002425 0.003988 0.007143 0.015459 0.045945 0.275064 158243.092420
2025-08-31 0.002308 0.003856 0.007063 0.015893 0.051159 0.389757 NaN
2025-09-07 0.002162 0.003649 0.006786 0.015682 0.053432 0.492717 NaN
2025-09-14 0.001988 0.003370 0.006311 0.014760 0.051626 0.523176 NaN
2025-09-21 0.001894 0.003246 0.006176 0.014868 0.055466 0.722835 NaN
2025-09-28 0.001834 0.003186 0.006185 0.015448 0.062762 1.202828 NaN
2025-10-05 0.001806 0.003189 0.006345 0.016600 0.075553 2.759520 NaN
2025-10-12 0.001751 0.003128 0.006336 0.017162 0.085427 6.131424 NaN
2025-10-19 0.001679 0.003023 0.006202 0.017221 0.091615 12.769682 NaN
2025-10-26 0.001615 0.002932 0.006091 0.017342 0.098947 36.307642 NaN
2025-11-02 0.001531 0.002789 0.005828 0.016784 0.098926 67.422480 NaN